7. Girl Mania was solid first-up in a fast time race relative to the day and had the bias against her when running second at Hawkesbury 12 days ago in this grade. The three-year-old filly was checked/blocked in the home straight and had to switch to the inferior ground but still ran the third quickest final 600m sectional of the entire meeting in 34.25. Second-up last preparation, she produced her career peak figure when winning impressively at Wyong by four lengths. She can settle much closer from the softer draw, is proven on wet ground, and a repeat of her last-start figure will put her in the finish.
Dangers: 5. Ceasefire resumes after trialling well at Scone under light riding in a strong closing sectional merit heat. The four-year-old gelding has an impressive fresh record winning two from two first-up, and if he can reproduce those efforts/figures, he’s sure to feature. 2. Quiet Riot who bounced back into form when winning at Orange first-up; ran fast time even after adjusting for age, class, and additional factors historically. James McDonald takes over the riding duties and expect
him to improve again with a positive map. Market watch 6. Stormborn who comes out of the same
race as Girl Mania and was 54 days between runs that day. Further, she started shorter in the
market and receives a slight weight swing to her advantage.
How to play it: Girl Mania and Ceasefire both to win.
Odds and Evens: Odds.
RACE 5 – 3.05PM: AUSTRALIAN GENERAL HOSPITAL HANDICAP (1400m)
6. Thalassophile is a progressive type and was solid in defeat, running second at Hawkesbury 12 days ago after having factors against when starting $1.90 favourite. The three-year-old had a pre-race incident and had to make her run through the inferior ground but still posted one of the fastest last 200m splits of the entire meeting in 11.93. She smashed the clock on a heavy 10 surface in her prior start at Newcastle and posted a clear career peak figure. That race rated the highest overall relative to the meeting when historically comparing time, class and additional factors. Jockey William Pike will have options from the wide draw and be able to ride to any obvious pattern with the horse’s positional adaptability. In addition, the filly has dominant ratings relative to her rivals and looks to have the most upside.
Dangers: 5. Sing A Love Song got too far back last start at Wyong and ran on OK, albeit having a chequered passage over the concluding stages. The three-year-old colt was 31 days between runs, so we can expect improvement, and he has had strong form lines throughout his career. Market watch 1. Rangi Toa who started a $2.80 favourite in a two-year-old listed race in NZ before coming to Australia. Further, the import is now trained by G Waterhouse and A Bott and although having a long time off, he has looked to have improved between trials. 10. Ticket To Anywhere is rock-hard fit and consistent.
How to play it: Thalassophile to win.
Odds and Evens: Split.
RACE 6 – 3.40PM: ANZAC DAY CUP (2400m)
Improving stayer 2. Forever You has been freshened for this assignment after a strong win at Warwick Farm 33 days ago. The four-year-old mare chased a very fast tempo and ran a quick overall time with a subsequent winner to confirm the form. Some query with the long first campaign, but she is coming off a career peak figure and has a positive map.
Dangers: 1. Feel The Rush was suited and battled away OK into fifth when competing in the group 2 Chairman’s Quality (2600m) last start. Further, the subsequent group 1 Sydney Cup (3200m) winner, Knights Order, comes out of that race to confirm the form, and a repeat of that effort can put her in the finish. 7. Arabolini has no weight and maps to get complete control, and although 6. Sound Of Cannons hasn’t won in a long-time; he gets conditions to suit. 9. Insider Trader is the knockout.
How to play it: Forever You to win.
Odds and Evens: Split.
RACE 7 – 4.15PM: WALKERS RIDGE, GALLIPOLI HANDICAP (1800m)
Wide-open event and forgiving of 5. Peekays Legacy who pulled up lame last start at Gosford 11 days ago. The four-year-old gelding represents value and gets key factors in his favour to bounce back into form. He receives a significant barrier change where he can settle closer in the run, and Kerrin McEvoy takes over the riding duties. In addition, third-up last preparation, he produced a career peak figure winning at Rosehill over 1800m. The Peter and Paul Snowden galloper represents value, has a placing at this track and his figures line up well relative to his opposition.
Dangers: Irish import 6. Colour Sergeant hit the line hard to win at Canberra 17 days ago and looks a real trier. He was not run to suit, settling worse than midfield in a farcical tempo but overcame this with a burst of acceleration, running one of the quickest final 400m sectionals of the meeting in 23.48. The four-year-old gelding will need to step in figures to make the grade, but he does look an improver and undoubtedly has a chance. Market watch 8. Caboche raced well last preparation in stronger grade and will be fitter for this. 4. Highballer is fit and in form beating Peekays Legacy last start. 1. Major Artie will roll forward and give a sight.
How to play it: Peekays Legacy and Colour Sergeant both to win.
Odds and Evens: Split.
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RACE 8 – 4.50PM: THE AUSTRALIAN IMPERIAL FORCE HANDICAP (1400m)
5. Mach Schnell was rock solid in the market at $4.50-$4.20 when making his Australian debut for new trainer Joe Pride at Hawkesbury 12 days ago. The five-year-old gelding was 53 days between runs and was outpaced when the tempo quickened but hit the line well and gave every indication of improvement to come next start. He has a starting price profile advantage over some of his rivals and is proven on wet ground. Sam Clipperton can use the horse’s versatility to either go forward or back if there is any significant pattern.
Dangers: 1. Travest and 13. Secretively are both hard to catch but their career peak figures have come on heavy ground and both drop in grade. 4. Jailbreak is rock-hard fit and comes out of the same race as Mach Schnell where he beat that galloper home. Market watch 14. Star Sparks and 15. Fields Of Honour who both resume.
How to play it: Mach Schnell to win.
Odds and Evens: Odds.
Race-by-race tips and preview for Randwick (Kensington) on Monday
Source: Philippines Alive
